The global refining capital expenditure
(CAPEX) is forecast to reach approximately $333 billion between 2014 and 2020, representing
an annual average of almost $48 billion and 1.6 million barrels per day (mmbd),
according to "Global Refining Capital Expenditures Forecast at over
$300billion for New Capacity on-line by 2020; Refining Margins to Remain Under
Pressure as Annual Capacity Increases Forecast to Exceed Growth in Annual Oil
Demand" report.
This report states that the total
expenditures in Asia will amount to 46% of the world’s total, with China at
17%, India at 12% and All Other Asia at 17%, thanks to National Oil Companies
(NOCs) increasing capacity levels in China, India, Vietnam, Indonesia, Malaysia
and Pakistan.
The Middle East’s expenditure will account
for 23% of capital spending by the end of the forecast period, with NOCs
building capacity in Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Iraq, Iran and the United Arab
Emirates (UAE) to meet their growing oil demands for refined product export
purposes.
Senior Analyst, says: “Thanks to the planned
construction of efficient, large and complex grass-root refineries, such as
cracking and coking facilities, along with various expansion projects, refining
expenditures in the Middle East and Asia are forecast to represent a combined
70% share of the world’s total spending.
“Elsewhere, the CAPEX for Latin America
(including Mexico), Africa, the Former Soviet Union and the United States is
forecast at 18%, 8%, 4% and 1% of the global total, respectively.”
China will be the largest single market with
17% of global CAPEX, correlating with 22% of all capacity additions up to 2020.
Publisher attributes the country’s reasonable project costs to less expensive
labor and the construction of large efficient refineries in areas with
significant existing infrastructure, such as docks, pipelines and storage
terminals.
By contrast, Africa will experience
significantly higher production costs for its own new grass-root projects,
which are planned in Nigeria, Angola and Gabon. These countries have a lack of
highly-skilled workforces and minimal infrastructures, meaning that most, if
not all, equipment, materials and labor will need to be imported.
Senior Analyst, says: “Further costs for this
region will also result from the financial and geopolitical risks associated
with the construction of onshore refining facilities in African countries, such
as Algeria and Uganda. These factors will push Africa’s refining CAPEX to
almost $28 billion by the end of 2020.”
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more about this report at: http://mrr.cm/ZWj
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