India
continues to struggle with increasing its oil and gas output at a rate
complementary to growing domestic demand. The outlook for gas is more positive
than oil, though major production increases remain highly dependent on an
alteration of the gas formula. We were expecting the implementation of a higher
domestic natural gas price from April 1 2014. However, it was delayed due to
the change in government, with the stance of the BJP with regards to
implementing the change unclear. This has the potential to significantly reduce
our gas production forecasts, as it removes incentive to invest in higher cost
projects. The main trends and developments we highlight for the Indian oil and
gas sector are:
A lack of
clarity from the BJP with regards to the implementation of the Rangarajan gas
price formula puts considerable downside risk on our natural gas forecasts. We
believe if the gas price increase - which was due to rise from USD4.2/mnBTU to
USD8.3/mnBTU on April 1 - is not implemented, proposed investment in the KG
basin will not go ahead. If KG basin projects are delayed or cancelled, this
could see as much as 20-30bcm of gas not brought onstream by 2018.
Spanning over 185 pages, “India Oil and Gas Report Q3 2014” report
covering the Industry Forecast, Market Overview, Company Profile and Appendix.
See
Table of contents & Purchase this publication at: - http://mrr.cm/Zmn
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